2 edition of **Temperature, aggregate risk, and expected returns** found in the catalog.

Temperature, aggregate risk, and expected returns

Ravi Bansal

- 352 Want to read
- 40 Currently reading

Published
**2011**
by National Bureau of Economic Research in Cambridge, MA
.

Written in English

**Edition Notes**

Statement | Ravi Bansal, Marcelo Ochoa |

Series | NBER working paper series -- working paper 17575, Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research : Online) -- working paper no. 17575. |

Contributions | Ochoa, Marcelo, National Bureau of Economic Research |

Classifications | |
---|---|

LC Classifications | HB1 |

The Physical Object | |

Format | Electronic resource |

ID Numbers | |

Open Library | OL25173161M |

LC Control Number | 2011657477 |

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Temperature, Aggregate Risk, and Expected Returns Ravi Bansal and Marcelo Ochoa NBER Working Paper No. November JEL No. E0,G12,Q0 ABSTRACT In this paper we show that temperature is Temperature aggregate risk factor that adversely affects economic growth.

Our argument is based on evidence from global capital markets which shows that the covarianceCited by: Temperature, Aggregate Risk, and Expected Returns Ravi Bansal, Marcelo Ochoa. NBER Working Paper No. Issued in November NBER Program(s):Asset Pricing, Environment and Energy Economics, Economic Fluctuations and Growth.

In this paper we show that temperature is an aggregate risk factor that adversely affects economic growth. Get this from a library. Temperature, aggregate risk, and expected returns.

[Ravi Bansal; Marcelo Ochoa; National Bureau of Economic Research.] Temperature In this paper and expected returns book show that temperature is an aggregate risk factor that adversely affects economic growth.

Our argument is based on evidence from global capital markets which shows that the. with larger exposure to risk from aggregate growth also have larger temperature betas and hence larger risk-premium.

We provide a Long-Run Risks based model that quantitatively accounts for cross-sectional diﬀerences in temperature betas, its link to expected returns, and the connection between aggregate growth and temperature risks.

Download Citation | Temperature, Aggregate Risk, and Expected Returns | In this paper we show that temperature is an aggregate risk factor that adversely affects economic growth. Our argument is. on expected returns and on aggregate wealth and ﬁnancial market wealth due to a rise in temperature.

To evaluate the role of temperature as aggregate risk, we use data on global capital markets and US standard book-to-market and size sorted portfolios that are commonly used in the literature (see Fama and French ()).

Downloadable. In this paper we show that temperature is an aggregate risk factor that adversely affects economic growth. Our argument is based on evidence from global capital markets which shows that the covariance between country equity returns and temperature (i.e., temperature betas) contains sharp information about the cross-country risk premium; countries closer to the Equator carry a.

Abstract. In this paper we show that temperature is an aggregate risk factor that adversely affects economic growth. Our argument is based on evidence from global capital markets which shows that the covariance between country equity returns and temperature (i.e., temperature betas) contains sharp information about the cross-country risk premium; countries closer to the.

Risk, Uncertainty, and Expected Returns - Volume 51 Issue 3 - Turan G. Bali, Hao Zhou. Variance Risk in Aggregate Stock Returns and the Return Predictability.

SSRN Electronic Journal, CrossRef; The empirical results from the size, book-to-market, momentum, and industry portfolios indicate that the conditional covariances of equity. concerned with other portfolios.

For the cross-section, like Kogan and Wang (), we show that the expected excess return on any asset kdepends on a risk beta, denoted βvk,times risk aversion and the amount of aggregate risk; and an uncertainty beta, denoted βuk,times uncertainty aversion and the amount of aggregate uncertainty: Etrkt+1 = βvkγVt+βukθMt.

CiteSeerX — Temperature, Aggregate Risk, and Expected Returns. CiteSeerX - Document Details (Isaac Councill, Lee Giles, Pradeep Teregowda): Inthispaperweshowthat temperatureisanaggregate riskfactor that adversely affects economic growth.

Our argument is based on evidence from global capital markets which shows that the covariance between country equity returns and temperature (i.e., temperature. Abstract. In this paper we show that temperature is an aggregate risk factor that adversely affects global growth.

Our argument is based on evidence from global capital markets which shows that the covariance between country equity returns and temperature (i.e., temperature betas) contains sharp information about the cross-country risk premium; countries closer to the equator (with higher.

1. Introduction. In this paper, we empirically investigate the relation between risk, uncertainty, and expected returns. The risk-return trade-off—one of the most empirically tested theoretical relationships in finance—states that the expected excess market return should vary positively and proportionally to market volatility.

Risk, Uncertainty, and Expected Returns Turan G. Baliyand Hao Zhouz First Draft: March This Version: August dispersion of predictions of mean market returns obtained from the forecasts of aggregate corporate pro ts.

They nd that the price of uncertainty is signi cantly positive and ex- variation in returns on the size, book-to. The average risk premium is simply the average return of the asset, minus the average real risk-free rate, so, the average risk premium for this asset would be: RP = R – Rf RP – RP, or % We can find the average real risk-free rate using the Fisher equation.

The average real risk-free rate was. Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns The Harvard community has made this article openly available. Please share how this access benefits you. Your story matters Citation Greenwood, Robin Marc, and Andrei Shleifer.

“Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns. Introduction This chapter presents the theories that have been developed and established to give details about the relationship between risk and expected er, it presents the historical development of the asset pricing models, the assumptions and development of CAPM, arbitrage pricing theory, three-factor model, four factor model, and the impact of aggregate.

and risk factors based on other ﬁrm characteristics, like size or book-to-market ratio, our attention factor contains information about expected returns not only in January. Finally, several robustness analyses con-ﬁrm the results. Thepaper is organized as follows.

InSection2, the theoretical model of Merton () is brieﬂy described. In this model, aggregate risk is constant, but the amount of risk that must be held by the fundamentalists varies over time.

This is expected return, the fitted return values suggest that expectations of one-year returns vary between a low of % (February ) and. related to expected risk premia. For instance, the curvature of the yield curve can be explained by information which is also captured by the expected change in risk premia of forecasters in the SPF.

Finally, we show that the expected changes in risk premia actually do forecast bond excess returns. In finance and economics, systematic risk (in economics often called aggregate risk or undiversifiable risk) is vulnerability to events which affect aggregate outcomes such as broad market returns, total economy-wide resource holdings, or aggregate income.

In many contexts, events like earthquakes, epidemics and major weather catastrophes pose aggregate risks that affect not only the.FTSE Nareit U.S. Real Estate Index Historical Values & Returns. The FTSE Nareit U.S. Real Estate Index Series tracks the performance of the U.S.

REIT industry at both an industry-wide level and on a sector-by-sector basis. Annual return data begin in Performance by Property Sector/Subsector.The AGGREGATE function returns the result of an aggregate calculation like AVERAGE, COUNT, MAX, MIN, etc.

A total of 19 operations are available, and the operation to perform is specified as a number, which appears as the first argument in the function. The second argument, options, controls how AGGREGATE handles errors and values in hidden rows.